Weather or not? The role of international sanctions and climate on food prices in Iran

Introduction The scarcity of resources have affected food production, which has challenged the ability Iran to provide adequate for population. Iterative and mounting sanctions on by international community seriously eroded Iran's access agricultural technology support a growing Limited moisture availability also affects production. aim this study was analyze influence inflation, sanctions, weather disturbances, domestic crop production price rice, wheat lentils from 2010 2021 in Iran. Method Data were obtained statistical yearbooks Ministry Agriculture Iran, Statistical Center Central Bank We analyzed econometric measures prices, including CPI, subsidy reform plan estimate economic relationships. After deflating prices through CPI detrending time series resolve non-linear issue, we used monthly Climate Hazards group Infrared Precipitation with Stations (CHIRPS) precipitation data disturbances prices. Results discussion goods not only provides an important indicator balance between market demand, but strong impacts affordability security. This novel combination climate factors Our modeling framework found that ultimately access, country is much less than lowering productive capability negatively impacting its